Workshops Intelligence Threat Intelligence Briefing

Intelligence Deep Dive Session

Quantum Threat Intelligence Briefing

Intelligence community leadership requires a continuously updated assessment of the quantum threat to national security cryptographic infrastructure. This briefing provides structured intelligence analysis of national quantum computing programmes, evidence of adversary HNDL operations, CRQC timeline projections calibrated to peer-reviewed evidence, and strategic implications for intelligence community cryptographic posture over the next decade.

Half day (3 hours)

In person or online

Max 30 delegates

Commission This Workshop View Agenda

Proud to recommend our expert members

Workshop Description

The quantum threat to intelligence cryptography is the most consequential technology risk facing the intelligence community. Adversary collection of encrypted intelligence communications for future quantum decryption (HNDL) is an active operation acknowledged by multiple national agencies. The timeline to a cryptographically relevant quantum computer (CRQC) determines when these collected intercepts become readable, exposing sources, methods, and classified assessments that may retain intelligence value for decades.

This briefing synthesises publicly available intelligence on national quantum computing programmes, assesses hardware milestone progress against CRQC requirements, and evaluates the strategic posture of key state actors. The analysis covers China, the United States, the European Union, the United Kingdom, Russia, and emerging quantum programmes. Participants receive a continuous monitoring framework calibrated to intelligence community assessment standards, enabling regular updates rather than periodic point-in-time reviews.

What participants cover

National quantum programme assessment: China, US, EU, UK, Russia capability and investment analysis
Adversary HNDL operations: collection indicators, targeting patterns, and attributed activities
CRQC timeline intelligence: hardware milestone tracking and arrival date projection methodology
Threat actor profiling: capability, intent, and collection targeting for quantum-relevant intelligence
Strategic threat modelling: quantum timelines versus intelligence data classification lifetimes
Continuous monitoring framework for intelligence community quantum threat assessment

Preliminary Agenda

Deep Dive Session structure with scheduled breaks. Content is configurable to your organisation's technical level and operational environment.

#	Session	Topics
1	Quantum Threat Assessment Framework Structured intelligence analysis of the quantum risk	Two-timeline threat: HNDL (active now) versus CRQC (future, date uncertain) Assessment methodology: evidence tiers, source reliability, and confidence levels Intelligence community-specific risk: sources, methods, and assessments at stake
2	National Quantum Programme Intelligence Adversary and allied capability assessment	China: quantum computing milestones, national laboratory development, and intelligence community implications United States: government and commercial quantum programmes with intelligence relevance EU, UK, Russia, and emerging programmes: capability assessment and investment trajectory Competitive analysis: which programmes are most likely to reach CRQC first and on what timeline
Break, after 60 min
3	HNDL Operations and Collection Assessment Active quantum-related intelligence threats	Publicly attributed HNDL collection operations and targeting patterns Intelligence community data exposure: which classified data categories face highest HNDL risk Detection indicators: identifying HNDL targeting of intelligence community networks and communications
4	Strategic Assessment and Monitoring Framework Ongoing quantum threat intelligence	Key hardware milestones to monitor: error rates, qubit counts, and demonstrated quantum operations Assessment update triggers: which developments warrant urgent reassessment of quantum threat posture

Designed and Delivered By

Workshops are designed and delivered by QSECDEF in collaboration with sector specialists. All facilitators have direct experience in both quantum technologies and intelligence systems.

QSECDEF brings world-leading expertise in post-quantum cryptography, quantum computing strategy, and defence-grade security assessment. Our advisory membership spans 600+ organisations and 1,200+ professionals working at the intersection of quantum technologies and critical infrastructure security.

Intelligence workshops are co-delivered with sector specialists who bring direct operational experience in intelligence organisations. This ensures workshop content is grounded in regulatory, operational, and technical realities specific to the sector.

Commission This Workshop

Sessions are configured around your organisation's technical level, operational environment, and regulatory jurisdiction. Get in touch to discuss requirements and schedule a date.

Intelligence Workshops All Consulting Services All Workshops