Workshop Description
Classical computational chemistry relies on approximations (Hartree-Fock, DFT) that become unreliable for strongly correlated systems such as transition metal catalysts, enzyme active sites, and novel nerve agent analogues. Quantum algorithms like the Variational Quantum Eigensolver (VQE) and quantum phase estimation promise exact solutions for molecular ground state energies, but current NISQ hardware limits practical application to molecules with fewer than approximately 20 active orbitals. The gap between what quantum chemistry can simulate today and what would be needed for weapons-relevant molecular design is substantial.
This workshop provides a technically honest assessment of quantum computational chemistry capabilities and timelines. Participants examine VQE implementations on current hardware, the error rates that limit chemical accuracy, and projections for when fault-tolerant quantum computers could simulate molecules of defence relevance. The session also covers quantum-enhanced sensing for CBRN detection, dual-use implications under the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) and Biological Weapons Convention (BWC), and the policy frameworks needed to manage emerging quantum capabilities in this sensitive domain.
What participants cover
- VQE and quantum phase estimation for molecular ground state energy calculation
- NISQ hardware limitations: qubit count, error rates, and the chemical accuracy threshold
- Quantum simulation for reaction pathway analysis of threat agent precursors and detection markers
- Dual-use implications: CWC Article VI and BWC Article I considerations for quantum simulation capabilities
- Quantum-enhanced CBRN detection: molecular fingerprinting and spectroscopic analysis improvements
- Fault-tolerant timeline estimates for defence-relevant molecular simulation